Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.088153 0.103004 0.119551 0.139350 0.162395 0.188375 0.219891
2026-02-01 0.065298 0.083655 0.106013 0.135238 0.172432 0.218203 0.278846
2026-02-08 0.050904 0.070750 0.096903 0.133864 0.184761 0.252418 0.349286
2026-02-15 0.040133 0.060062 0.088266 0.131048 0.194312 0.284475 0.422932
2026-02-22 0.033401 0.053478 0.083801 0.132864 0.210275 0.327815 0.520167
2026-03-01 0.027722 0.047234 0.078525 0.132250 0.222223 0.367013 0.618205
2026-03-08 0.022619 0.040832 0.071711 0.127731 0.226876 0.395244 0.703553
2026-03-15 0.019215 0.036605 0.067650 0.126930 0.237363 0.434489 0.813990
2026-03-22 0.017180 0.034413 0.066697 0.131354 0.257694 0.493926 0.970381
2026-03-29 0.015547 0.032648 0.066173 0.136394 0.279901 0.560174 1.150700
2026-04-05 0.014010 0.030768 0.065062 0.140015 0.299832 0.625076 1.339239
2026-04-12 0.012502 0.028656 0.063094 0.141469 0.315473 0.683723 1.524689
2026-04-19 0.010627 0.025488 0.058576 0.137187 0.319351 0.721197 1.677837
2026-04-26 0.008943 0.022424 0.053744 0.131347 0.318861 0.749602 1.817505
2026-05-03 0.007746 0.020277 0.050609 0.128880 0.325812 0.796212 2.009005
2026-05-10 0.006681 0.018233 0.047337 0.125456 0.329860 0.836938 2.194809
2026-05-17 0.006008 0.017070 0.046022 0.126731 0.345998 0.910031 2.476272
2026-05-24 0.005329 0.015742 0.044032 0.125848 0.356380 0.970625 2.737460
2026-05-31 0.004602 0.014124 0.040948 0.121361 0.356152 1.003581 2.930933
2026-06-07 0.004108 0.013079 0.039254 0.120480 0.365920 1.065421 3.217730
2026-06-14 0.003836 0.012652 0.039256 0.124602 0.391115 1.175093 3.664956
2026-06-21 0.003605 0.012308 0.039439 0.129332 0.419144 1.298227 4.177180
2026-06-28 0.003358 0.011856 0.039208 0.132732 0.443791 1.415989 4.696663